| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site |
Playoff Game |
Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/13/2026 | #8 | Buffalo Bills | 5-1-0 | 36 | @ Houston Texans | 31 | L | Houston Texans (-2.27) | 0% | -7.27 | ||||||
| 9/20/2026 | #13 | Cincinnati Bengals | 3-2-0 | 20 | @ Houston Texans | 6 | L | Houston Texans (-6.43) | 0% | -20.43 | ||||||
| 9/27/2026 | Houston Texans | 17 | #25 | @ Indianapolis Colts | 2-4-0 | 19 | L | Indianapolis Colts (+1.77) | 0% | -3.77 | ||||||
| 10/4/2026 | #24 | Dallas Cowboys | 2-4-0 | 34 | @ Houston Texans | 30 | L | Houston Texans (-3.75) | 0% | -7.75 | ||||||
| 10/11/2026 | Houston Texans | 26 | #32 | @ Tennessee Titans | 1-5-0 | 3 | W | Tennessee Titans (+6.01) | 100% | 16.99 | ||||||
| 10/18/2026 | Houston Texans | 34 | #4 | Jacksonville Jaguars | 4-2-0 | 31 | ✓ | W | Jacksonville Jaguars (-5.40) | 100% | 8.40 | |||||
| 10/25/2026 | #27 | New York Giants | 3-2-1 | @ Houston Texans | W | Houston Texans (-10.30) | 77% | |||||||||
| 11/8/2026 | Houston Texans | #31 | @ Los Angeles Chargers | 0-6-0 | W | Los Angeles Chargers (+7.03) | 69% | |||||||||
| 11/15/2026 | Houston Texans | #11 | @ Cleveland Browns | 4-2-0 | W | Cleveland Browns (+4.15) | 62% | |||||||||
| 11/19/2026 | #25 | Indianapolis Colts | 2-4-0 | @ Houston Texans | W | Houston Texans (-6.12) | 67% | |||||||||
| 11/29/2026 | #16 | Baltimore Ravens | 4-2-0 | @ Houston Texans | W | Houston Texans (-2.38) | 57% | |||||||||
| 12/6/2026 | Houston Texans | #10 | @ Pittsburgh Steelers | 4-2-0 | W | Pittsburgh Steelers (+0.41) | 51% | |||||||||
| 12/13/2026 | Houston Texans | #30 | @ Washington Commanders | 1-4-1 | W | Washington Commanders (+7.83) | 71% | |||||||||
| 12/20/2026 | #4 | Jacksonville Jaguars | 4-2-0 | @ Houston Texans | L | Houston Texans (+3.34) | 40% | |||||||||
| 12/24/2026 | Houston Texans | #26 | @ Philadelphia Eagles | 2-4-0 | W | Philadelphia Eagles (+4.00) | 61% | |||||||||
| 1/4/2027 | Houston Texans | #9 | @ Green Bay Packers | 4-2-0 | W | Green Bay Packers (+0.01) | 50% | |||||||||
| 1/10/2027 | #32 | Tennessee Titans | 1-5-0 | @ Houston Texans | W | Houston Texans (-12.61) | 81% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 19-8-024.1% 28-9-020.0% 310-7-019.8% 47-10-011.5% 511-6-010.6% 66-11-04.6% Chance of winning all 11 remaining games: 0.5% | ||||||||||||||||