| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site |
Playoff Game |
Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/13/2026 | ✓ | Atlanta Falcons | 13 | #10 | @ Pittsburgh Steelers | 4-2-0 | 20 | L | Pittsburgh Steelers (-3.81) | 0% | -3.19 | |||||
| 9/20/2026 | #7 | Carolina Panthers | 3-2-0 | 34 | @ Atlanta Falcons | 3 | L | Atlanta Falcons (-4.05) | 0% | -35.05 | ||||||
| 9/24/2026 | ✓ | Atlanta Falcons | 35 | #9 | @ Green Bay Packers | 4-2-0 | 14 | W | Green Bay Packers (-4.96) | 100% | 25.96 | |||||
| 10/5/2026 | ✓ | Atlanta Falcons | 45 | #23 | @ New Orleans Saints | 2-4-0 | 24 | W | New Orleans Saints (-4.43) | 100% | 25.43 | |||||
| 10/11/2026 | ✓ | #16 | Baltimore Ravens | 4-2-0 | 30 | ✓ | @ Atlanta Falcons | 23 | L | Atlanta Falcons (-0.86) | 0% | -7.86 | ||||
| 10/18/2026 | #6 | Chicago Bears | 4-2-0 | 31 | @ Atlanta Falcons | 23 | L | Atlanta Falcons (-0.35) | 0% | -8.35 | ||||||
| 10/25/2026 | #3 | San Francisco 49ers | 6-0-0 | @ Atlanta Falcons | L | Atlanta Falcons (+4.04) | 38% | |||||||||
| 11/1/2026 | Atlanta Falcons | #20 | @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 1-5-0 | W | Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+0.05) | 50% | |||||||||
| 11/8/2026 | #13 | Cincinnati Bengals | 3-2-0 | Atlanta Falcons | ✓ | L | Atlanta Falcons (+2.29) | 43% | ||||||||
| 11/15/2026 | #2 | Kansas City Chiefs | 5-0-0 | @ Atlanta Falcons | L | Atlanta Falcons (+3.29) | 40% | |||||||||
| 11/29/2026 | Atlanta Falcons | #1 | @ Minnesota Vikings | 5-0-0 | L | Minnesota Vikings (-4.58) | 37% | |||||||||
| 12/6/2026 | #14 | Detroit Lions | 3-2-0 | @ Atlanta Falcons | L | Atlanta Falcons (+0.20) | 49% | |||||||||
| 12/13/2026 | Atlanta Falcons | #11 | @ Cleveland Browns | 4-2-0 | W | Cleveland Browns (+2.03) | 56% | |||||||||
| 12/20/2026 | Atlanta Falcons | #30 | @ Washington Commanders | 1-4-1 | W | Washington Commanders (+5.71) | 66% | |||||||||
| 12/27/2026 | #20 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 1-5-0 | @ Atlanta Falcons | W | Atlanta Falcons (-3.14) | 59% | |||||||||
| 1/3/2027 | #23 | New Orleans Saints | 2-4-0 | @ Atlanta Falcons | W | Atlanta Falcons (-6.43) | 68% | |||||||||
| 1/10/2027 | Atlanta Falcons | #7 | @ Carolina Panthers | 3-2-0 | L | Carolina Panthers (-2.90) | 41% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 17-10-022.2% 28-9-022.1% 36-11-015.6% 49-8-015.4% 55-12-07.5% 610-7-07.4% Chance of winning all 11 remaining games: <0.1% | ||||||||||||||||