| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site |
Playoff Game |
Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/13/2026 | Buffalo Bills | 36 | #21 | @ Houston Texans | 2-4-0 | 31 | W | Houston Texans (-2.27) | 100% | 7.27 | ||||||
| 9/17/2026 | #14 | Detroit Lions | 3-2-0 | 31 | @ Buffalo Bills | 41 | W | Buffalo Bills (-2.12) | 100% | 7.88 | ||||||
| 9/27/2026 | #31 | Los Angeles Chargers | 0-6-0 | 16 | @ Buffalo Bills | 24 | W | Buffalo Bills (-5.93) | 100% | 2.07 | ||||||
| 10/4/2026 | #5 | New England Patriots | 4-2-0 | 29 | @ Buffalo Bills | 26 | L | Buffalo Bills (-1.30) | 0% | -4.30 | ||||||
| 10/12/2026 | Buffalo Bills | 37 | #22 | @ Los Angeles Rams | 2-4-0 | 34 | W | Los Angeles Rams (-4.34) | 100% | 7.34 | ||||||
| 10/18/2026 | Buffalo Bills | 33 | #18 | @ Las Vegas Raiders | 3-3-0 | 30 | W | Las Vegas Raiders (+5.13) | 100% | -2.13 | ||||||
| 11/1/2026 | #16 | Baltimore Ravens | 4-2-0 | @ Buffalo Bills | W | Buffalo Bills (-2.89) | 58% | |||||||||
| 11/9/2026 | Buffalo Bills | #1 | @ Minnesota Vikings | 5-0-0 | L | Minnesota Vikings (-1.94) | 44% | |||||||||
| 11/15/2026 | Buffalo Bills | #19 | @ New York Jets | 2-4-0 | W | New York Jets (+3.81) | 61% | |||||||||
| 11/22/2026 | #28 | Miami Dolphins | 0-5-0 | @ Buffalo Bills | W | Buffalo Bills (-12.93) | 82% | |||||||||
| 11/26/2026 | #2 | Kansas City Chiefs | 5-0-0 | @ Buffalo Bills | L | Buffalo Bills (+0.65) | 48% | |||||||||
| 12/6/2026 | Buffalo Bills | #5 | @ New England Patriots | 4-2-0 | L | New England Patriots (-3.39) | 40% | |||||||||
| 12/13/2026 | Buffalo Bills | #9 | @ Green Bay Packers | 4-2-0 | W | Green Bay Packers (+0.53) | 51% | |||||||||
| 12/19/2026 | #6 | Chicago Bears | 4-2-0 | @ Buffalo Bills | L | Buffalo Bills (+0.45) | 49% | |||||||||
| 12/25/2026 | Buffalo Bills | #12 | @ Denver Broncos | 4-2-0 | L | Denver Broncos (-0.62) | 48% | |||||||||
| 1/3/2027 | Buffalo Bills | #28 | @ Miami Dolphins | 0-5-0 | W | Miami Dolphins (+9.83) | 76% | |||||||||
| 1/10/2027 | #19 | New York Jets | 2-4-0 | @ Buffalo Bills | W | Buffalo Bills (-6.91) | 69% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 111-6-023.2% 212-5-021.8% 310-7-017.1% 413-4-013.9% 59-8-08.7% 614-3-05.8% Chance of winning all 11 remaining games: 0.2% | ||||||||||||||||