| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/5/2026 | Miami (OH) | 14 | #59 | @ Pittsburgh | 5-2 | 59 | L | Pittsburgh (-16.22) | 0% | -28.78 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | #207 | Holy Cross | 2-5 | 7 | @ Miami (OH) | 45 | W | Miami (OH) (-22.93) | 100% | 15.07 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | Miami (OH) | 31 | #49 | @ Cincinnati | 4-2 | 35 | L | Cincinnati (-19.33) | 0% | 15.33 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | #132 | UConn | 3-3 | 21 | @ Miami (OH) | 24 | W | Miami (OH) (+1.39) | 100% | 4.39 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | #147 | Bowling Green | 2-5 | 24 | ✓ | @ Miami (OH) | 20 | L | Miami (OH) (-15.66) | 0% | -19.66 | |||||
| 10/10/2026 | ✓ | Miami (OH) | 20 | ✓ | #143 | @ Massachusetts | 4-3 | 19 | W | Massachusetts (+3.24) | 100% | -2.24 | ||||
| 10/17/2026 | #182 | Akron | 1-6 | 14 | ✓ | @ Miami (OH) | 34 | W | Miami (OH) (-10.16) | 100% | 9.84 | |||||
| 10/24/2026 | Miami (OH) | #104 | @ Central Michigan | 3-4 | L | Central Michigan (-0.73) | 48% | |||||||||
| 11/4/2026 | #109 | Buffalo | 4-3 | @ Miami (OH) | W | Miami (OH) (-6.04) | 65% | |||||||||
| 11/11/2026 | #73 | Ohio | 5-2 | @ Miami (OH) | L | Miami (OH) (+3.44) | 41% | |||||||||
| 11/18/2026 | Miami (OH) | #136 | @ Kent State | 2-5 | W | Kent State (+5.65) | 64% | |||||||||
| 11/24/2026 | Miami (OH) | #50 | @ Western Michigan | 5-2 | L | Western Michigan (-10.33) | 26% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 16-633.3% 27-531.8% 35-716.0% 48-413.9% 54-82.9% 69-32.2% Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: 2.2% | ||||||||||||||||