| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/5/2026 | #102 | Tarleton State | 7-0 | 20 | @ Bowling Green | 13 | L | Bowling Green (+9.05) | 0% | 2.05 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | Bowling Green | 7 | #24 | @ Nebraska | 5-2 | 56 | L | Nebraska (-22.31) | 0% | -26.69 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | Bowling Green | 7 | #43 | @ Iowa State | 3-3 | 55 | L | Iowa State (-28.17) | 0% | -19.83 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | #71 | South Florida | 5-2 | 14 | @ Bowling Green | 6 | L | Bowling Green (+26.41) | 0% | 18.41 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | Bowling Green | 24 | ✓ | #115 | @ Miami (OH) | 4-3 | 20 | W | Miami (OH) (-15.66) | 100% | 19.66 | |||||
| 10/10/2026 | #224 | Sacramento State | 1-6 | 10 | @ Bowling Green | 38 | W | Bowling Green (-2.99) | 100% | 25.01 | ||||||
| 10/17/2026 | #138 | Ball State | 2-5 | 32 | @ Bowling Green | 31 | L | Bowling Green (-4.24) | 0% | -5.24 | ||||||
| 10/24/2026 | Bowling Green | #109 | @ Buffalo | 4-3 | L | Buffalo (-5.53) | 37% | |||||||||
| 10/31/2026 | Bowling Green | #50 | @ Western Michigan | 5-2 | L | Western Michigan (-15.96) | 17% | |||||||||
| 11/11/2026 | #136 | Kent State | 2-5 | @ Bowling Green | W | Bowling Green (-2.81) | 57% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | Bowling Green | #74 | @ Toledo | 5-2 | L | Toledo (-18.85) | 13% | |||||||||
| 11/28/2026 | #143 | Massachusetts | 4-3 | @ Bowling Green | L | Bowling Green (+2.47) | 44% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 14-835.7% 23-933.6% 35-716.3% 42-1011.1% 56-63.1% 67-50.2% Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: 0.2% | ||||||||||||||||