| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/5/2026 | Sam Houston | 21 | #126 | @ Troy | 3-3 | 24 | L | Troy (-15.97) | 0% | 12.97 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | #87 | Tulsa | 4-3 | 23 | @ Sam Houston | 17 | L | Sam Houston (+6.61) | 0% | 0.61 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | #234 | Nicholls | 2-5 | 0 | @ Sam Houston | 59 | W | Sam Houston (-10.95) | 100% | 48.05 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | Sam Houston | 14 | #10 | @ Texas Tech | 6-0 | 49 | L | Texas Tech (-29.80) | 0% | -5.20 | ||||||
| 10/8/2026 | Sam Houston | 3 | #63 | @ Liberty | 5-1 | 35 | L | Liberty (-12.46) | 0% | -19.54 | ||||||
| 10/15/2026 | #137 | Western Kentucky | 3-4 | 16 | @ Sam Houston | 3 | L | Sam Houston (-3.72) | 0% | -16.72 | ||||||
| 10/22/2026 | #162 | New Mexico State | 2-4 | @ Sam Houston | W | Sam Houston (-0.90) | 52% | |||||||||
| 10/28/2026 | Sam Houston | #163 | @ Missouri State | 2-4 | W | Missouri State (+0.91) | 52% | |||||||||
| 11/8/2026 | Sam Houston | #88 | @ Jacksonville State | 5-2 | L | Jacksonville State (-9.65) | 28% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | #172 | Kennesaw State | 1-5 | @ Sam Houston | L | Sam Houston (+1.54) | 46% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | #159 | Middle Tennessee | 3-3 | @ Sam Houston | W | Sam Houston (-8.25) | 70% | |||||||||
| 11/28/2026 | Sam Houston | #108 | @ Florida International | 3-3 | L | Florida International (-7.23) | 33% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 14-832.3% 23-927.0% 35-720.4% 42-1011.3% 56-66.4% 61-111.8% Chance of winning all 6 remaining games: 0.8% | ||||||||||||||||