| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/5/2026 | #32 | Oklahoma State | 4-2 | 10 | @ Tulsa | 24 | W | Tulsa (-3.60) | 100% | 10.40 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | Tulsa | 23 | #161 | @ Sam Houston | 1-5 | 17 | W | Sam Houston (+6.61) | 100% | -0.61 | ||||||
| 9/20/2026 | #208 | East Texas A&M | 2-5 | 0 | @ Tulsa | 42 | W | Tulsa (-26.67) | 100% | 15.33 | ||||||
| 9/27/2026 | ✓ | Tulsa | 6 | #66 | @ Arkansas | 3-4 | 34 | L | Arkansas (-1.69) | 0% | -26.31 | |||||
| 10/2/2026 | #42 | North Texas | 4-2 | 45 | @ Tulsa | 44 | L | Tulsa (+12.63) | 0% | 11.63 | ||||||
| 10/10/2026 | Tulsa | 26 | #125 | @ Navy | 2-4 | 34 | L | Navy (-2.58) | 0% | -5.42 | ||||||
| 10/17/2026 | Tulsa | 38 | #142 | @ Rice | 1-6 | 17 | W | Rice (+4.27) | 100% | 16.73 | ||||||
| 10/24/2026 | #52 | Army | 4-2 | @ Tulsa | L | Tulsa (+3.15) | 42% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | Tulsa | #78 | @ Tulane | 3-3 | L | Tulane (-2.01) | 45% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | #97 | Florida Atlantic | 4-2 | @ Tulsa | W | Tulsa (-6.56) | 66% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | #176 | Charlotte | 1-6 | @ Tulsa | W | Tulsa (-21.75) | 90% | |||||||||
| 11/28/2026 | Tulsa | #39 | @ UTSA | 6-1 | L | UTSA (-5.04) | 38% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 17-536.8% 26-628.7% 38-420.6% 45-78.9% 59-34.2% 64-80.7% Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: 4.2% | ||||||||||||||||