| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/5/2026 | East Carolina | 10 | #8 | @ Alabama | 5-2 | 48 | L | Alabama (-12.28) | 0% | -25.72 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | #123 | App State | 4-2 | 27 | @ East Carolina | 24 | L | East Carolina (-9.04) | 0% | -12.04 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | East Carolina | 20 | #160 | @ Old Dominion | 2-5 | 17 | W | Old Dominion (-2.58) | 100% | 5.58 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | #256 | North Carolina Central | 1-5 | 9 | ✓ | @ East Carolina | 42 | W | East Carolina (-36.98) | 100% | -3.98 | |||||
| 10/10/2026 | #142 | Rice | 1-6 | 12 | ✓ | @ East Carolina | 28 | W | East Carolina (-14.30) | 100% | 1.70 | |||||
| 10/15/2026 | ✓ | East Carolina | 17 | #106 | @ UAB | 4-3 | 30 | L | UAB (+3.06) | 0% | -16.06 | |||||
| 10/22/2026 | East Carolina | #55 | @ Memphis | 5-2 | L | Memphis (-14.85) | 18% | |||||||||
| 10/31/2026 | #140 | Temple | 2-5 | @ East Carolina | W | East Carolina (-3.96) | 60% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | #71 | South Florida | 5-2 | @ East Carolina | L | East Carolina (+3.30) | 42% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | East Carolina | #176 | @ Charlotte | 1-6 | W | Charlotte (+11.70) | 76% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | East Carolina | #52 | @ Army | 4-2 | L | Army (-13.65) | 20% | |||||||||
| 11/27/2026 | #97 | Florida Atlantic | 4-2 | @ East Carolina | W | East Carolina (-2.26) | 56% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 16-634.0% 25-729.2% 37-518.8% 44-811.4% 58-44.6% 63-91.6% Chance of winning all 6 remaining games: 0.4% | ||||||||||||||||