| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/5/2026 | #264 | VMI | 0-7 | 3 | @ Virginia Tech | 73 | W | Virginia Tech (-48.25) | 100% | 21.75 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | #160 | Old Dominion | 2-5 | 21 | @ Virginia Tech | 44 | W | Virginia Tech (-7.01) | 100% | 15.99 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | Virginia Tech | 35 | #119 | @ Maryland | 2-5 | 26 | W | Maryland (-0.60) | 100% | 9.60 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | Virginia Tech | 21 | #101 | @ Boston College | 3-3 | 14 | W | Boston College (+11.27) | 100% | -4.27 | ||||||
| 10/2/2026 | #59 | Pittsburgh | 5-2 | 35 | @ Virginia Tech | 33 | L | Virginia Tech (+5.61) | 0% | 3.61 | ||||||
| 10/10/2026 | Virginia Tech | 20 | ✓ | #95 | @ California | 3-4 | 25 | L | California (+8.50) | 0% | -13.50 | |||||
| 10/17/2026 | #96 | Georgia Tech | 2-4 | 24 | @ Virginia Tech | 34 | W | Virginia Tech (-5.61) | 100% | 4.39 | ||||||
| 10/24/2026 | Virginia Tech | #35 | @ Clemson | 4-2 | L | Clemson (-5.10) | 38% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | Virginia Tech | #44 | @ SMU | 5-1 | L | SMU (-5.91) | 36% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | #103 | Stanford | 3-4 | @ Virginia Tech | W | Virginia Tech (-15.72) | 83% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | Virginia Tech | #3 | @ Miami | 6-0 | L | Miami (-23.82) | 8% | |||||||||
| 11/28/2026 | #86 | Virginia | 4-3 | @ Virginia Tech | W | Virginia Tech (-1.87) | 55% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 17-539.5% 28-428.5% 36-620.9% 49-37.8% 55-72.9% 610-20.5% Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: 0.5% | ||||||||||||||||