| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/5/2026 | Elon | 38 | #265 | @ Davidson | 2-4 | 0 | W | Davidson (+22.95) | 100% | 15.05 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | Elon | 10 | #180 | @ Rhode Island | 4-3 | 31 | L | Rhode Island (-7.14) | 0% | -13.86 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | #240 | Sacred Heart | 3-4 | 21 | @ Elon | 24 | W | Elon (-10.37) | 100% | -7.37 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | #254 | Maine | 1-6 | 17 | @ Elon | 43 | W | Elon (-7.94) | 100% | 18.06 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | Elon | 23 | #243 | @ New Hampshire | 2-6 | 30 | L | New Hampshire (+5.96) | 0% | -12.96 | ||||||
| 10/10/2026 | #178 | Wofford | 5-3 | 16 | @ Elon | 0 | L | Elon (-1.28) | 0% | -17.28 | ||||||
| 10/17/2026 | Elon | 7 | #103 | @ Stanford | 3-4 | 34 | L | Stanford (-16.27) | 0% | -10.73 | ||||||
| 10/31/2026 | Elon | #230 | @ North Carolina A&T | 3-5 | W | North Carolina A&T (+0.89) | 52% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | #260 | Hampton | 0-6 | @ Elon | W | Elon (-12.79) | 78% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | #129 | Campbell | 6-1 | @ Elon | L | Elon (+8.60) | 30% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | Elon | #248 | @ Towson | 0-8 | L | Towson (-3.22) | 42% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 15-640.7% 26-525.2% 34-724.7% 47-45.1% 53-84.2% Chance of winning all 4 remaining games: 5.1% | ||||||||||||||||