| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/5/2026 | #201 | Charleston Southern | 2-4 | 0 | @ Georgia Southern | 31 | W | Georgia Southern (-21.37) | 100% | 9.63 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | Georgia Southern | 7 | #35 | @ Clemson | 4-2 | 22 | L | Clemson (-10.62) | 0% | -4.38 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | Georgia Southern | 27 | #88 | @ Jacksonville State | 5-2 | 31 | L | Jacksonville State (-6.55) | 0% | 2.55 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | #16 | Houston | 6-1 | 42 | @ Georgia Southern | 28 | L | Georgia Southern (+12.15) | 0% | -1.85 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | Georgia Southern | 31 | #157 | @ Coastal Carolina | 2-5 | 24 | W | Coastal Carolina (+3.57) | 100% | 3.43 | ||||||
| 10/10/2026 | #26 | James Madison | 7-0 | 27 | @ Georgia Southern | 24 | L | Georgia Southern (+15.91) | 0% | 12.91 | ||||||
| 10/15/2026 | ✓ | Georgia Southern | 23 | #160 | @ Old Dominion | 2-5 | 15 | W | Old Dominion (+1.98) | 100% | 6.02 | |||||
| 10/31/2026 | #123 | App State | 4-2 | @ Georgia Southern | W | Georgia Southern (-12.59) | 78% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | #146 | Marshall | 3-3 | @ Georgia Southern | W | Georgia Southern (-16.37) | 84% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | Georgia Southern | #91 | @ Georgia State | 4-2 | L | Georgia State (-3.32) | 42% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | Georgia Southern | #126 | @ Troy | 3-3 | W | Troy (+4.84) | 62% | |||||||||
| 11/28/2026 | #51 | Louisiana Tech | 4-2 | @ Georgia Southern | W | Georgia Southern (-0.01) | 50% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 16-636.8% 27-529.4% 35-720.2% 48-48.4% 54-84.8% 63-90.4% Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: 8.4% | ||||||||||||||||