| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/5/2026 | #198 | Furman | 1-5 | 9 | @ Tennessee | 56 | W | Tennessee (-43.74) | 100% | 3.26 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | Tennessee | 45 | #96 | @ Georgia Tech | 2-4 | 24 | W | Georgia Tech (+4.34) | 100% | 16.66 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | #172 | Kennesaw State | 1-5 | 9 | @ Tennessee | 42 | W | Tennessee (-22.91) | 100% | 10.09 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | #9 | Texas | 4-2 | 20 | @ Tennessee | 17 | L | Tennessee (+0.11) | 0% | -2.89 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | #27 | Auburn | 4-2 | 14 | @ Tennessee | 24 | W | Tennessee (-6.50) | 100% | 3.50 | ||||||
| 10/10/2026 | ✓ | Tennessee | 24 | #66 | @ Arkansas | 3-4 | 17 | W | Arkansas (+13.29) | 100% | -6.29 | |||||
| 10/17/2026 | #8 | Alabama | 5-2 | 10 | ✓ | @ Tennessee | 26 | W | Tennessee (+11.28) | 100% | 27.28 | |||||
| 10/24/2026 | Tennessee | #37 | @ South Carolina | 3-3 | W | South Carolina (+1.30) | 53% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | #6 | Kentucky | 6-1 | @ Tennessee | W | Tennessee (-4.06) | 60% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | Tennessee | #41 | @ Texas A&M | 4-3 | W | Texas A&M (+3.03) | 58% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | #5 | LSU | 5-2 | @ Tennessee | L | Tennessee (+4.34) | 39% | |||||||||
| 11/28/2026 | Tennessee | #85 | @ Vanderbilt | 3-4 | W | Vanderbilt (+15.98) | 83% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 19-336.2% 28-425.0% 310-224.2% 47-57.8% 511-16.0% 66-60.8% Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: 6.0% | ||||||||||||||||